CONGRESSIONAL STIMULITUS
One might think of the economy as a horse drawn wagon loaded with goods and services. Three of the four horses pulling the wagon are consumers. The other horse is government spending. The wheels allowing the wagon to move are the four spokes of the financial system providing credit, namely: (1) consumer and mortgage borrowing (2) business borrowing (3) state and local borrowing and (4) U.S. Treasury borrowing. The axel grease allowing the wheels to turn is confidence for every financial transaction is a series of promises we trust will be kept. When a criminal like Bernard Madoff breaks a promise, we discount his behavior as abnormal. But, when sincerely made promises are broken by the system at large our confidence is badly shaken.
Today the three consumer horses have stopped galloping out of depression, fear and uncertainty. Three of the four credit wheels have broken off from their axels; and, even if we could get them back on, there is no axel grease to start them turning.
In his inauguration address, President Obama stated, “The question we ask today is not whether our government is too big or too small, but whether it works…” Clearly, he means to steer the economic recovery by flexible pragmatism as opposed to a fixed ideology.
A MULTI-PRONGED ASSAULT
President Obama intends to assault the worsening economic catastrophe in a number of different ways, namely:
1. Economic Stimulus: Stimulus measures are intended to create jobs and boost confidence that consumers will awaken from the spending slumber like Sleeping Beauty. The House last week passed a huge stimulus bill intended to jump start the economy. The Senate this week will take up a similar measure. There are, however many views about what this bill should and should not include that will eventually be resolved by compromise. Some issues are:
a. Economic Recovery versus systemic change: The House bill goes beyond direct job producing provisions like road proj... Read More »
